U.S. dollar tumbles as Fed outlook weigh, Sweden’s crown surges after rate hike

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The U.S. dollar fell across the board on Thursday, moving in line with lower Treasury yields, as investors stuck to their views that the Federal Reserve does not need to raise interest rates any more than it should as inflation is starting to get under control.

The Swedish crown, on the other hand, soared after the country’s central bank raised rates, forecast further hikes and said it wanted a stronger currency, adding to the dollar’s woes.

A higher-than expected U.S. jobless claims number further compounded the dollar’s losses, as the report suggested labor market weakness that can help bring down inflation.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 196,000 for the week ended Feb. 4, data showed. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 190,000 claims for the latest week.

“We had a big buildup in dollar shorts and lot of that has been unwound. Then (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell and other Fed officials spoke and there was some relief in the sense that they repeated the upside risks, but they did not signal any imminent increase in the terminal rate,” said Vassili Serebriakov, FX strategist at UBS in New York, referring to the peak federal funds rate.

“Investors are still hesitant to go back into dollar shorts before the CPI (consumer price index) report. There’s a lot of focus on CPI to see whether Powell’s disinflation story holds.”

Powell had said on Tuesday and last week that disinflation, or a deceleration in the rise of overall prices, has started.

In late morning trading, the dollar index fell 0.7% to 102.74 .

The euro , the biggest component in the dollar index, climbed 0.6% to $1.078, while sterling rose 0.9% to $1.2179 , with both boosted by improving risk sentiment across markets.

The dollar was last down 2% against the Swedish crown at 10.31 while the euro dropped 2% as well to 11.11, set for its biggest daily percentage fall since 2009, after the Riksbank raised its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 3%, and forecast more increases in the spring. ,

The central bank also said a stronger currency would be desirable to bring down inflation.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar , often seen as a proxy for risk sentiment, rose 0.8% to US$0.6973 as the safe-haven U.S. currency dipped in line with a rally in equities and other so-called “risk-friendly” assets, helped by strong company earnings.

The dollar fell 0.4% against the Japanese yen to 130.92 .

Japan’s government is planning to present the new Bank of Japan governor nominee to parliament on Feb. 14, broadcaster TBS reported on Thursday. Markets are closely watching the appointment, as the new governor’s agenda will be scrutinized as to how quickly the central bank could phase out its massive stimulus.

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Currency bid prices at 10:52AM (1552 GMT)

Description
RIC
Last
U.S. Close Previous Session
Pct Change
YTD Pct Change
High Bid
Low Bid
Dollar index
102.8800
103.4500
-0.54%
-0.589%
+103.5600
+102.6300
Euro/Dollar
$1.0765
$1.0714
+0.48%
+0.47%
+$1.0791
+$1.0707
Dollar/Yen
130.8850
131.4550
-0.43%
-0.17%
+131.8200
+130.3400
Euro/Yen
140.90
140.79
+0.08%
+0.43%
+141.3200
+140.6300
Dollar/Swiss
0.9190
0.9209
-0.20%
-0.60%
+0.9218
+0.9160
Sterling/Dollar
$1.2165
$1.2074
+0.77%
+0.60%
+$1.2194
+$1.2064
Dollar/Canadian
1.3413
1.3447
-0.25%
-1.00%
+1.3459
+1.3373
Aussie/Dollar
$0.6968
$0.6924
+0.62%
+2.21%
+$0.7011
+$0.6922
Euro/Swiss
0.9894
0.9866
+0.28%
-0.01%
+0.9902
+0.9862
Euro/Sterling
0.8847
0.8874
-0.30%
+0.03%
+0.8886
+0.8847
NZ Dollar/Dollar
$0.6355
$0.6307
+0.75%
+0.08%
+$0.6389
+$0.6304
Dollar/Norway
10.1145
10.3115
-1.91%
+3.07%
+10.3165
+10.0990
Euro/Norway
10.8899
11.0674
-1.60%
+3.78%
+11.0712
+10.8852
Dollar/Sweden
10.3037
10.5869
-2.20%
-1.00%
+10.6155
+10.2958
Euro/Sweden
11.0933
11.3430
-2.20%
-0.51%
+11.3510
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